United States Economy
The 1950s in America are often described as a time of complacency. By
contrast, the 1960s and 1970s were a time of great change. New nations
emerged around the world, insurgent movements sought to overthrow
existing governments, established countries grew to become economic
powerhouses that rivaled the United States, and economic relationships
came to predominate in a world that increasingly recognized military
might could not be the only means of growth and expansion.
President John F. Kennedy (1961-1963)
ushered in a more activist approach to governing. During his 1960
presidential campaign, Kennedy said he would ask Americans to meet the
challenges of the "New Frontier." As president, he sought to
accelerate economic growth by increasing government spending and cutting
taxes, and he pressed for medical help for the elderly, aid for inner
cities, and increased funds for education. Many of these proposals were
not enacted, although Kennedy's vision of sending Americans abroad to
help developing nations did materialize with the creation of the Peace
Corps. Kennedy also stepped up American space exploration. After his
death, the American space program surpassed Soviet achievements and
culminated in the landing of American astronauts on the moon in July
1969.
Kennedy's assassination in 1963 spurred
Congress to enact much of his legislative agenda. His successor, Lyndon
Baines Johnson (1963-1969), sought to build a "Great Society"
by spreading benefits of America's successful economy to more citizens.
Federal spending increased dramatically, as the government launched such
new programs as Medicare (health care for the elderly), Food Stamps
(food assistance for the poor), and numerous education initiatives
(assistance to students as well as grants to schools and colleges).
Military spending also increased as
American's presence in Vietnam grew. What had started as a small
military action under Kennedy mushroomed into a major military
initiative during Johnson's presidency. Ironically, spending on both
wars -- the war on poverty and the fighting war in Vietnam --
contributed to prosperity in the short term. But by the end of the
1960s, the government's failure to raise taxes to pay for these efforts
led to accelerating inflation, which eroded this prosperity. The
1973-1974 oil embargo by members of the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) pushed energy prices rapidly higher and
created shortages. Even after the embargo ended, energy prices stayed
high, adding to inflation and eventually causing rising rates of
unemployment. Federal budget deficits grew, foreign competition
intensified, and the stock market sagged.
The Vietnam War dragged on until 1975,
President Richard Nixon (1969-1973) resigned under a cloud of
impeachment charges, and a group of Americans were taken hostage at the
U.S. embassy in Teheran and held for more than a year. The nation seemed
unable to control events, including economic affairs. America's trade
deficit swelled as low-priced and frequently high-quality imports of
everything from automobiles to steel to semiconductors flooded into the
United States.
The term "stagflation" -- an
economic condition of both continuing inflation and stagnant business
activity, together with an increasing unemployment rate -- described the
new economic malaise. Inflation seemed to feed on itself. People began
to expect continuous increases in the price of goods, so they bought
more. This increased demand pushed up prices, leading to demands for
higher wages, which pushed prices higher still in a continuing upward
spiral. Labor contracts increasingly came to include automatic
cost-of-living clauses, and the government began to peg some payments,
such as those for Social Security, to the Consumer Price Index, the
best-known gauge of inflation. While these practices helped workers and
retirees cope with inflation, they perpetuated inflation. The
government's ever-rising need for funds swelled the budget deficit and
led to greater government borrowing, which in turn pushed up interest
rates and increased costs for businesses and consumers even further.
With energy costs and interest rates high, business investment
languished and unemployment rose to uncomfortable levels.
In desperation, President Jimmy Carter
(1977-1981) tried to combat economic weakness and unemployment by
increasing government spending, and he established voluntary wage and
price guidelines to control inflation. Both were largely unsuccessful. A
perhaps more successful but less dramatic attack on inflation involved
the "deregulation" of numerous industries, including airlines,
trucking, and railroads. These industries had been tightly regulated,
with government controlling routes and fares. Support for deregulation
continued beyond the Carter administration. In the 1980s, the government
relaxed controls on bank interest rates and long-distance telephone
service, and in the 1990s it moved to ease regulation of local telephone
service.
But the most important element in the war
against inflation was the Federal Reserve Board, which clamped down hard
on the money supply beginning in 1979. By refusing to supply all the
money an inflation-ravaged economy wanted, the Fed caused interest rates
to rise. As a result, consumer spending and business borrowing slowed
abruptly. The economy soon fell into a deep recession.
Source: U.S. Department of State
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