United States Economy
The 1990s brought a new president, Bill Clinton (1993-2000). A
cautious, moderate Democrat, Clinton sounded some of the same themes as
his predecessors. After unsuccessfully urging Congress to enact an
ambitious proposal to expand health-insurance coverage, Clinton declared
that the era of "big government" was over in America. He
pushed to strengthen market forces in some sectors, working with
Congress to open local telephone service to competition. He also joined
Republicans to reduce welfare benefits. Still, although Clinton reduced
the size of the federal work force, the government continued to play a
crucial role in the nation's economy. Most of the major innovations of
the New Deal, and a good many of the Great Society, remained in place.
And the Federal Reserve system continued to regulate the overall pace of
economic activity, with a watchful eye for any signs of renewed
inflation.
The economy, meanwhile, turned in an
increasingly healthy performance as the 1990s progressed. With the fall
of the Soviet Union and Eastern European communism in the late 1980s,
trade opportunities expanded greatly. Technological developments brought
a wide range of sophisticated new electronic products. Innovations in
telecommunications and computer networking spawned a vast computer
hardware and software industry and revolutionized the way many
industries operate. The economy grew rapidly, and corporate earnings
rose rapidly. Combined with low inflation and low unemployment, strong
profits sent the stock market surging; the Dow Jones Industrial Average,
which had stood at just 1,000 in the late 1970s, hit the 11,000 mark in
1999, adding substantially to the wealth of many -- though not all --
Americans.
Japan's economy, often considered a model
by Americans in the 1980s, fell into a prolonged recession -- a
development that led many economists to conclude that the more flexible,
less planned, and more competitive American approach was, in fact, a
better strategy for economic growth in the new, globally-integrated
environment.
America's labor force changed markedly
during the 1990s. Continuing a long-term trend, the number of farmers
declined. A small portion of workers had jobs in industry, while a much
greater share worked in the service sector, in jobs ranging from store
clerks to financial planners. If steel and shoes were no longer American
manufacturing mainstays, computers and the software that make them run
were.
After peaking at $290,000 million in 1992,
the federal budget steadily shrank as economic growth increased tax
revenues. In 1998, the government posted its first surplus in 30 years,
although a huge debt -- mainly in the form of promised future Social
Security payments to the baby boomers -- remained. Economists, surprised
at the combination of rapid growth and continued low inflation, debated
whether the United States had a "new economy" capable of
sustaining a faster growth rate than seemed possible based on the
experiences of the previous 40 years.
Finally, the American economy was more
closely intertwined with the global economy than it ever had been.
Clinton, like his predecessors, had continued to push for elimination of
trade barriers. A North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) had
further increased economic ties between the United States and its
largest trading partners, Canada and Mexico. Asia, which had grown
especially rapidly during the 1980s, joined Europe as a major supplier
of finished goods and a market for American exports. Sophisticated
worldwide telecommunications systems linked the world's financial
markets in a way unimaginable even a few years earlier.
While many Americans remained convinced
that global economic integration benefited all nations, the growing
interdependence created some dislocations as well. Workers in
high-technology industries -- at which the United States excelled --
fared rather well, but competition from many foreign countries that
generally had lower labor costs tended to dampen wages in traditional
manufacturing industries. Then, when the economies of Japan and other
newly industrialized countries in Asia faltered in the late 1990s, shock
waves rippled throughout the global financial system. American economic
policy-makers found they increasingly had to weigh global economic
conditions in charting a course for the domestic economy.
Still, Americans ended the 1990s with a
restored sense of confidence. By the end of 1999, the economy had grown
continuously since March 1991, the longest peacetime economic expansion
in history. Unemployment totaled just 4.1 percent of the labor force in
November 1999, the lowest rate in nearly 30 years. And consumer prices,
which rose just 1.6 percent in 1998 (the smallest increase except for
one year since 1964), climbed only somewhat faster in 1999 (2.4 percent
through October). Many challenges lay ahead, but the nation had
weathered the 20th century -- and the enormous changes it brought -- in
good shape.
Source: U.S. Department of State
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